The Jacksonville Jaguars visit the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium on Sunday, November 15, at 1:00 p.m. ET. Jacksonville scores nearly 29 points a game and allows about 15. Tennessee has lost all four of its home games.

The Matchup

Records: Jacksonville Jaguars 6-2 (2-1 road), Tennessee Titans 1-7 (0-4 home)
Venue: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
Kickoff: Sunday, November 15, 1:00 p.m. ET
TV: Fox
Line (DraftKings): JAX -10.5, O/U 46.5

Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans tickets
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What Decides It

Jacksonville is the better team on both sides of the scoreboard.

Tennessee scores 18 points a game and allows nearly 25, the mirror image of the Jaguars. Jacksonville has the higher scoring average and the lower points-allowed figure, so there is no phase where the Titans hold the edge on paper.

The recent form backs it up. Jacksonville won its last two games 33-10 on the road and 42-7 at home. Tennessee has been competitive lately but still lost its last two, 43-36 in overtime and 27-24.

Tennessee's passing game is not built to exploit the softer side of Jacksonville's defense.

The Jaguars give up about 238 passing yards a game against under 90 on the ground, so the air is where they are more generous. The problem is that Tennessee throws for about 185 yards a game, well short of what Jacksonville typically allows. Cam Ward has 6 touchdowns and 5 interceptions.

The run offers no easier route. Tony Pollard has 595 yards and 6 touchdowns, but he faces a front that has kept opponents well below the nearly 100 rushing yards a game Tennessee averages. Jacksonville will be without safeties Jessie Bates III, Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig and Eric Murray, which is the Titans' best opening to make this a passing game.

Trevor Lawrence should find room against a Tennessee pass defense that gives up yards in bulk.

The Titans allow nearly 273 passing yards a game, more than the nearly 243 Jacksonville averages through the air. Lawrence has thrown 18 touchdowns against 4 interceptions, and that kind of ball security against a leaky secondary is the matchup that should decide this game.

Tennessee allows nearly 397 total yards a game and will play without linebackers Cody Barton and Anthony Hill Jr. That leaves a thinner defense trying to slow an offense coming off two lopsided wins.

Players to Watch

Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing: Trevor Lawrence – 146-224, 1,932 YDS, 18-4 (TD-INT)
Rushing: Bhayshul Tuten – 122 ATT, 521 YDS, 4 TD
Receiving: Parker Washington – 29 REC, 493 YDS, 5 TD

Washington is the name to track against a defense that gives up yardage through the air. Tuten draws a Titans run defense allowing about 124 yards a game.

Tennessee Titans

Passing: Cam Ward – 155-248, 1,483 YDS, 6-5 (TD-INT)
Rushing: Tony Pollard – 133 ATT, 595 YDS, 6 TD
Receiving: Wan'Dale Robinson – 35 REC, 262 YDS, 3 TD

Pollard leads Tennessee on the ground, but the Jaguars have been stingy against the run. Robinson is the Titans' receiving leader, though his yardage total sits well short of Washington's.

Injury Report

Tennessee Titans: LB Cody Barton – Out (concussion); LB Anthony Hill Jr. – Out (neck); P Tommy Townsend – Out (knee); G Peter Skoronski – Out (hamstring); RB Tyjae Spears – Questionable (knee)
Jacksonville Jaguars: S Jessie Bates III – Out (coach's decision); S Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig – Out (coach's decision); DE B.J. Green II – Injured Reserve (elbow); S Eric Murray – Injured Reserve (elbow); C Robert Hainsey – Questionable (concussion)

Prediction

Jaguars 30, Titans 17. Jacksonville has the better offense, the better defense and the cleaner quarterback play. Tennessee's best hope is attacking a depleted Jaguars secondary, but its passing game has not shown it can carry a game. The Jaguars cover.