No. 2 Georgia visits No. 10 Ole Miss on Saturday night at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford. The matchup to watch is the Rebels' passing game against a Georgia pass defense that has held opponents well below what Ole Miss usually produces through the air.

The Matchup

Georgia Bulldogs: 7-1 (4-1 home), No. 2
Ole Miss Rebels: 6-2 (4-0 home), No. 10
Venue: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
Kickoff: Saturday, November 7, 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: ABC
Line: Georgia -3.5, O/U 56.5

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What Decides It

The Ole Miss passing game against the Georgia secondary is the matchup that should decide it. The Rebels throw for about 282 yards a game. Georgia allows about 187 through the air, so one of those numbers has to bend on Saturday.

Ole Miss cannot count on the run to take the pressure off. The Rebels average about 158 rushing yards a game, but Georgia gives up just 86. That puts the game on Trinidad Chambliss, who has thrown twice as many interceptions as Gunner Stockton, 8 to 4. Against a defense this tight, turnovers are the risk Ole Miss can least afford.

Georgia's run game holds the cleaner edge. The Bulldogs run for about 200 yards a game, and Ole Miss allows about 149 on the ground. Georgia's ground output sits well above what the Rebels' run defense typically gives up.

Dwight Phillips Jr. leads that attack with 415 yards on 55 carries. If Georgia can stay on schedule with the run, it shortens the game and keeps the Ole Miss passing attack on the sideline.

The total is low for a reason. These teams average 78.1 points a game combined, yet the number sits at 56.5. On season averages that looks like a gift to the over, but Georgia's recent scoring tells a different story.

The Bulldogs have not topped 27 points in any of their last 3 games: a 27-8 win, a 24-27 home loss and a 20-17 road win. That is well below their season average of 41. The market is pricing in that version of Georgia.

Players to Watch

Georgia Bulldogs

Passing: Gunner Stockton – 130-181, 1,671 YDS, 16-4 (TD-INT)
Rushing: Dwight Phillips Jr. – 55 ATT, 415 YDS, 2 TD
Receiving: Craig Dandridge – 20 REC, 349 YDS, 1 TD

Stockton has been careful with the ball, with 16 touchdowns against those 4 interceptions. Phillips is the player who can tilt this game toward Georgia.

Ole Miss Rebels

Passing: Trinidad Chambliss – 189-296, 2,189 YDS, 18-8 (TD-INT)
Rushing: Kewan Lacy – 78 ATT, 388 YDS, 5 TD
Receiving: Deuce Alexander – 48 REC, 669 YDS, 5 TD

Alexander is Chambliss's top target and the receiver Georgia has to account for on every snap. Lacy has found the end zone 5 times and gives Ole Miss a finisher near the goal line.

Prediction

Georgia 27, Ole Miss 23. The Bulldogs' run game against the Ole Miss front is the most dependable edge on the field, and it should let Georgia control the clock in a hostile building. Ole Miss will move the ball through the air, but a mistake or two from Chambliss is enough for Georgia to cover and keep the game under the total.