South Carolina visits Oklahoma on Saturday at Memorial Stadium with a run game averaging more than 218 yards a game. The Sooners counter with a defense that has held opponents to under 18 points a game. Both teams sit at 4-3, and showers are in the forecast for Norman.

The Matchup

Records: South Carolina Gamecocks 4-3, Oklahoma Sooners 4-3 (2-1 at home)
Venue: Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
Kickoff: Saturday, October 31, 4:15 p.m. ET
TV: SEC Network
Line: OU -3.5, O/U 44.5 (DraftKings)

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What Decides It

South Carolina's run game creates the widest yardage gap in this matchup. The Gamecocks run for about 218 yards a game, and Oklahoma allows about 117 on the ground. That gap of roughly 100 yards is the widest between any offense and the matching defense in this matchup.

Matt Fuller leads the attack with 513 yards and 5 touchdowns. If Oklahoma can't pull South Carolina's rushing output back toward its usual allowance, the Sooners' defensive numbers elsewhere won't matter much.

The total says this is Oklahoma's kind of game, and the Sooners' recent scores back it up. These offenses combine for nearly 58 points a game, yet the total sits at 44.5. South Carolina carries the bigger share of that scoring, about 36 points a game to Oklahoma's 22.

Oklahoma hasn't topped 27 points in any of its last five games. South Carolina's last five all produced at least 51 combined points. The total sits much closer to the scoring in Oklahoma's recent games than South Carolina's.

The Sooners also allow only about 156 passing yards a game. That makes South Carolina's ground game the likelier route to points.

The weather favors the team that wants to run. The forecast calls for showers with a 51% chance of rain and gusts of 13 mph. A wet ball adds risk to the passing game, which tilts things toward the stronger rushing offense: South Carolina, not an Oklahoma offense that runs for only about 106 yards a game.

Players to Watch

South Carolina Gamecocks

Passing: LaNorris Sellers – 133-219, 1548 YDS, 13-5 (TD-INT)
Rushing: Matt Fuller – 90 ATT, 513 YDS, 5 TD
Receiving: Mazeo Bennett Jr. – 31 REC, 324 YDS, 3 TD

Sellers has thrown 13 touchdowns against 5 interceptions. He doesn't need to carry this offense against Oklahoma's pass defense, as long as Fuller keeps the chains moving.

Oklahoma Sooners

Passing: John Mateer – 136-204, 1591 YDS, 11-7 (TD-INT)
Rushing: Lloyd Avant – 73 ATT, 322 YDS, 2 TD
Receiving: Isaiah Sategna III – 41 REC, 578 YDS, 3 TD

Sategna leads the Sooners with 578 receiving yards. Mateer's 7 interceptions are the number to watch in wet conditions.

Weather

Expect mostly cloudy skies with showers, a temperature of 66°F and gusts up to 13 mph. Rain is close to a coin flip, but it's likely enough to shape both play-calling and ball security.

Prediction

Oklahoma's defense is stingy, but its offense hasn't kept pace with South Carolina's scoring. South Carolina's run game is the largest yardage edge in this matchup, and the rain only helps it. The Gamecocks win outright and push the total over.

South Carolina 27, Oklahoma 21